SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for KTP had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vaasan Palloseura in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | KTP |
50.07% ( -0.17) | 23.39% ( 0) | 26.54% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.58% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.52% ( 0.14) | 42.48% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.11% ( 0.14) | 64.88% ( -0.14) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% ( -0.01) | 17.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.72% ( -0.02) | 47.28% ( 0.02) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( 0.2) | 29.34% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( 0.25) | 65.32% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | KTP |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.01% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.54% |
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