SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
30.76% ( -0.5) | 25.37% ( -0.11) | 43.86% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.27% ( 0.29) | 48.72% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% ( 0.27) | 70.83% ( -0.27) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( -0.19) | 29.53% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.45% ( -0.23) | 65.54% ( 0.23) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( 0.41) | 22.17% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( 0.62) | 55.57% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.86% |
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