SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Haka had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Haka win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Haka |
47.38% ( -0.39) | 26.74% ( 0.18) | 25.89% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.29% ( -0.53) | 56.71% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( -0.43) | 77.66% ( 0.43) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( -0.41) | 23.96% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.81% ( -0.6) | 58.19% ( 0.59) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.51% ( -0.12) | 37.49% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.73% ( -0.11) | 74.27% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.89% |
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