SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Oulu |
36.88% ( -0.16) | 27.34% ( 0.03) | 35.78% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.27% ( -0.13) | 55.72% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( -0.11) | 76.87% ( 0.1) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( -0.16) | 29.08% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% ( -0.2) | 64.99% ( 0.19) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( 0.01) | 29.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.19% ( 0.02) | 65.81% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.78% |
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