SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | SJK |
34.64% ( -0.63) | 27.35% ( 0.07) | 38.01% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.17% ( -0.32) | 55.83% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.05% ( -0.27) | 76.95% ( 0.27) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( -0.56) | 30.52% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% ( -0.67) | 66.74% ( 0.68) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( 0.18) | 28.45% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.79% ( 0.22) | 64.21% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.64% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.01% |
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