SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | SJK | 18 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 9 | Ilves | 18 | -8 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 18 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | Lahti | 18 | -22 | 14 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 18 | -24 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Lahti |
51.9% ( -1.29) | 23.87% ( 0.33) | 24.22% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.35% ( -0.49) | 46.64% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.08% ( -0.47) | 68.91% ( 0.46) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( -0.66) | 17.96% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% ( -1.15) | 48.8% ( 1.15) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( 0.56) | 33.43% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% ( 0.62) | 70.05% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.53% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.34% Total : 24.23% |
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