SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Oulu | 13 | -4 | 18 |
| 7 | Vaasan Palloseura | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 8 | Haka | 12 | -5 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lahti | 13 | -11 | 12 |
| 11 | IFK Mariehamn | 12 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 12 | -13 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
36.79% ( -1.83) | 27.1% ( 0.18) | 36.11% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.24% ( -0.59) | 54.75% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( -0.49) | 76.07% ( 0.5) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( -1.35) | 28.65% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.53% ( -1.72) | 64.47% ( 1.72) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% ( 0.74) | 29.06% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.02% ( 0.9) | 64.98% ( -0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.11% |
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