SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ilves | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Vaasan Palloseura | 16 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 16 | -8 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Inter Turku | 16 | 8 | 21 |
| 8 | Ilves | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Vaasan Palloseura | 16 | 4 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Ilves |
36.73% ( 0.01) | 26.98% ( -0.34) | 36.3% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% ( 1.38) | 54.28% ( -1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.32% ( 1.14) | 75.68% ( -1.14) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( 0.67) | 28.47% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.76% ( 0.83) | 64.24% ( -0.83) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( 0.88) | 28.72% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( 1.08) | 64.56% ( -1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.72% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.3% |
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