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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 17
Aug 6, 2022 at 1pm UK
Hietalahti

VPS
3 - 0
Ilves

Multanen (19' pen.), Pikkarainen (27'), Pahkasalo (37')
Reid (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Manga (48'), Ngueukam (61')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Vaasan Palloseura and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Honka 4-0 VPS
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Lahti 1-1 Ilves
Friday, July 29 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.

Result
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawIlves
36.73% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.98% (-0.344 -0.34) 36.3% (0.341 0.34)
Both teams to score 50.99% (1.104 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72% (1.379 1.38)54.28% (-1.376 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32% (1.141 1.14)75.68% (-1.137 -1.14)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.673 0.67)28.47% (-0.67 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.76% (0.834 0.83)64.24% (-0.83099999999999 -0.83)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (0.884 0.88)28.72% (-0.88 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (1.084 1.08)64.56% (-1.081 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Vaasan Palloseura 36.72%
    Ilves 36.3%
    Draw 26.97%
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawIlves
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.091 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.72%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.449 -0.45)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.3 -0.3)
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.117 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Honka 4-0 VPS
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: VPS 3-3 Haka
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-1 VPS
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: VPS 1-3 Mariehamn
Saturday, July 9 at 3.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Oulu 0-6 VPS
Saturday, July 2 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: VPS 0-1 Honka
Wednesday, June 22 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Lahti 1-1 Ilves
Friday, July 29 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Ilves 1-2 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, July 23 at 12pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: SJK 3-3 Ilves
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Ilves 0-2 Oulu
Monday, July 11 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HIFK 0-1 Ilves
Monday, July 4 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Ilves 0-1 HIFK
Wednesday, June 22 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga


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