SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Honka | 14 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 14 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Oulu | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Haka | 13 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 13 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | SJK | 13 | -7 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
34.4% ( 0.23) | 24.81% ( -0.18) | 40.79% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( 0.87) | 45.09% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( 0.83) | 67.44% ( -0.83) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( 0.55) | 25.46% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( 0.75) | 60.29% ( -0.75) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 0.35) | 22.08% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% ( 0.53) | 55.42% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.4% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.79% |
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