SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 13 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 14 | 6 | 27 |
| 3 | Honka | 12 | 10 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | SJK | 12 | -8 | 12 |
| 11 | Lahti | 13 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 13 | -15 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Lahti |
58.1% ( -0.78) | 22.71% ( 0.07) | 19.19% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 51.31% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% ( 0.73) | 47.6% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( 0.67) | 69.8% ( -0.67) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.01) | 16.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% ( -0.01) | 45.48% ( 0.02) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.15% ( 1.22) | 38.85% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.42% ( 1.13) | 75.58% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.33)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.1% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.16)Other @ 1% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.3% Total : 19.19% |
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