Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 57.12%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 21.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
