SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 15 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Lahti | 15 | -20 | 12 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 14 | -15 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 15 | 8 | 17 |
| 9 | SJK | 14 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 15 | -7 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for SJK had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest SJK win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | SJK |
37.81% ( 0.99) | 27.71% ( -0.18) | 34.48% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 48.6% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.78% ( 0.61) | 57.22% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.93% ( 0.48) | 78.07% ( -0.49) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.9) | 29.24% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( 1.09) | 65.19% ( -1.09) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( -0.22) | 31.32% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.32% ( -0.25) | 67.68% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.48% |
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