SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
| 48.05% | 23.51% | 28.44% |
| Both teams to score 59.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.34% | 41.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.94% | 64.06% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% | 17.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.92% | 48.08% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% | 27.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.93% | 63.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 5.48% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.86% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-1 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.44% |
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