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Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Dec 11, 2021 at 8.45am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
MV

Adelaide United
1 - 2
Victory

Tratt (70')
Yengi (26'), Sanchez (31'), Halloran (39'), Tratt (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Margiotta (59'), Velupillay (78')
Miranda (27'), Davidson (29'), Kruse (90+5')
Davidson (88')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
44.72%25.1%30.18%
Both teams to score 55.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2%47.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02%69.98%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61%21.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62%54.38%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54%29.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54%65.46%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 44.72%
    Melbourne Victory 30.18%
    Draw 25.09%
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 4.71%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.72%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.3%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.7%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.18%

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