Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
