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WU
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
May 28, 2021 at 10.05am UK
GMHBA Stadium
MV

Western Utd
1 - 6
Victory

Diamanti (45+3' pen.)
Pain (8'), Guarrotxena (55'), Uskok (88')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Brimmer (12'), Gestede (22'), Kamsoba (33', 50'), Folami (36'), Butterfield (82')
McManaman (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 53.06%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
53.06%22.13%24.81%
Both teams to score 61.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.78%38.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.5%60.5%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49%14.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.47%42.52%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6%28.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.85%64.15%
Score Analysis
    Western United 53.06%
    Melbourne Victory 24.81%
    Draw 22.13%
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 6.22%
3-0 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 3.91%
4-1 @ 3%
4-0 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 53.06%
1-1 @ 10.01%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 4.12%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-1 @ 5.19%
0-2 @ 3.27%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 24.81%

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