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Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Apr 10, 2021 at 10.10am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
WS

Adelaide United
1 - 1
Western Sydney

Juric (11')
D'Arrigo (30'), Strain (82'), Cavallo (90+2')
D'Arrigo (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cox (68')
Natta (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
45.07%23.7%31.22%
Both teams to score 60.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.05%40.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.66%63.33%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55%18.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38%49.62%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62%25.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82%60.17%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 45.07%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 31.22%
    Draw 23.69%
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.17%
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 6.69%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-0 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 3.54%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 45.07%
1-1 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-1 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.22%

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