Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
