Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.