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Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Mar 7, 2021 at 7.10am UK
Mars Stadium (Ballarat)
WS

Western Utd
0 - 1
Western Sydney


Lustica (40'), Pierias (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mutch (57')
Natta (45+1'), Mutch (65'), Dorrans (90+2'), Cox (90+6')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.83%) and 0-2 (5.09%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
36.8%22.62%40.59%
Both teams to score 66.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.03%33.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.17%55.84%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88%19.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.25%50.75%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55%17.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08%47.92%
Score Analysis
    Western United 36.8%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 40.59%
    Draw 22.62%
Western UnitedDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.97%
1-0 @ 5.52%
2-0 @ 4.57%
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.04%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.8%
1-1 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 6.96%
0-0 @ 3.34%
3-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-1 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 4.9%
2-3 @ 4.05%
0-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 2.14%
2-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.29%
3-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 40.59%

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