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Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
May 5, 2021 at 12.20pm UK
Perth Oval
MC

Perth Glory
1 - 3
Melbourne City

Ikonomidis (31')
Keogh (35'), Kilkenny (44'), Aspropotamitis (90+1'), Warland (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bodnar (36' og.), MacLaren (45+1', 68')
Jamieson (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.44%) and 0-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne City
23.53%21.13%55.34%
Both teams to score 63.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.24%34.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.28%56.72%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5%27.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99%63.01%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37%12.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.23%38.77%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 23.53%
    Melbourne City 55.34%
    Draw 21.13%
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 5.99%
1-0 @ 4.49%
2-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 23.53%
1-1 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 3.47%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-2 @ 7.44%
0-1 @ 7.19%
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 4.27%
1-4 @ 3.42%
0-4 @ 2.65%
2-4 @ 2.21%
1-5 @ 1.42%
0-5 @ 1.1%
3-4 @ 0.95%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 55.34%

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