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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.49%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
55.49% ( 0.06) | 20.9% ( -0.13) | 23.61% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 64.3% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.46% ( 0.68) | 33.54% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.66% ( 0.77) | 55.34% ( -0.77) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.81% ( 0.24) | 12.19% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.16% ( 0.51) | 37.84% ( -0.51) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( 0.42) | 26.77% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% ( 0.56) | 62.04% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.49% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 23.61% |
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