SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
47.99% ( 0.04) | 21.98% ( -0.01) | 30.03% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.5% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.75% ( 0.04) | 33.25% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.99% ( 0.04) | 55.01% ( -0.04) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( 0.03) | 14.41% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.68% ( 0.05) | 42.32% ( -0.05) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( -0) | 22.31% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.23% ( 0) | 55.77% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.99% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.79% 0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.03% |
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