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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 38.24% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.01%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.93%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
38.84% ( -0.79) | 22.92% ( -0.32) | 38.24% ( 1.12) |
| Both teams to score 65.72% ( 1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.62% ( 1.7) | 35.38% ( -1.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.59% ( 1.86) | 57.41% ( -1.86) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.2% ( 0.38) | 18.8% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.78% ( 0.62) | 50.22% ( -0.62) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( 1.27) | 19.07% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.33% ( 2.07) | 50.67% ( -2.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.45)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.61% Total : 38.84% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.51% Total : 38.24% |
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