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Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Mar 2, 2024 at 7am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
CC

Newcastle Jets
0 - 1
Central Coast


O'Neill (49'), Cancar (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nisbet (75')
Kaltack (29'), Tapp (79'), Balard (87')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Macarthur
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Central Coast
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawCentral Coast Mariners
34.71% (-0.186 -0.19) 23.05% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 42.24% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 64.66% (-0.21199999999999 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.46% (-0.255 -0.26)36.54% (0.259 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.31% (-0.279 -0.28)58.69% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (-0.214 -0.21)21.31% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.75% (-0.332 -0.33)54.25% (0.337 0.34)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)17.83% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (-0.073 -0.07)48.57% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 34.71%
    Central Coast Mariners 42.24%
    Draw 23.04%
Newcastle JetsDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.87% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.8% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.04%
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.02% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 42.24%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Macarthur
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, February 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 3-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, February 11 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Victory
Saturday, February 3 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Wellington
Saturday, January 27 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Brisbane Roar
Tuesday, January 23 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Central Coast
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-0 Western Sydney
Sunday, February 18 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Central Coast
Tuesday, February 6 at 3am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 0-4 Central Coast
Saturday, February 3 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 27 at 8.45am in Australian A-League


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