Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
34.71% ( -0.19) | 23.05% ( 0.04) | 42.24% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 64.66% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.46% ( -0.26) | 36.54% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.31% ( -0.28) | 58.69% ( 0.28) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% ( -0.21) | 21.31% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.75% ( -0.33) | 54.25% ( 0.34) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.17% ( -0.04) | 17.83% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.43% ( -0.07) | 48.57% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.93% Total : 42.24% |
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