SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Western United had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
| 50.87% | 24.41% | 24.71% |
| Both teams to score 53.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% | 48.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% | 70.65% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% | 19.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.32% | 50.68% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.97% | 34.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.28% | 70.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.92% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.87% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.71% |
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