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Australian A-League | Gameweek 6
May 15, 2021 at 10.10am UK
Hunter Stadium
CC

Newcastle Jets
0 - 1
Central Coast


Yuel (84'), O'Donovan (88'), Krasniqi (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simon (54' pen.)
Tongyik (16'), Stensness (45+1'), Kuol (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawCentral Coast Mariners
34.59%25.22%40.18%
Both teams to score 56.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06%46.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82%69.18%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78%26.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67%61.32%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82%23.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93%57.06%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 34.59%
    Central Coast Mariners 40.18%
    Draw 25.22%
Newcastle JetsDrawCentral Coast Mariners
1-0 @ 8.14%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 34.59%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 4.24%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.18%

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