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Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
May 2, 2021 at 7.05am UK
Docklands Stadium
CC

Victory
1 - 1
Central Coast

McManaman (62')
Roux (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simon (4')
De Silva (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawCentral Coast Mariners
31.63%24.46%43.91%
Both teams to score 58.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68%44.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31%66.69%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23%26.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95%62.05%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32%52.68%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 31.63%
    Central Coast Mariners 43.91%
    Draw 24.46%
Melbourne VictoryDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.53%
1-0 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.63%
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-1 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 4.84%
0-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 1.93%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 43.91%

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