Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
33.32% | 26.58% | 40.09% |
Both teams to score 51.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47% | 52.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.41% | 74.59% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.04% | 29.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.93% | 66.07% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.05% | 25.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.04% | 60.96% |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.32% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 7.07% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.09% |
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