Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
