Victory
3 - 4
Western Utd

McManaman (21'), Butterfield (62'), Gestede (82')
Kruse (27'), Roux (45'), Brimmer (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sanchez (42', 90+5'), Berisha (53', 58')
Sanchez (12'), Imai (31'), Uskok (50'), Vujica (72'), Milanovic (85'), Skotadis (90+4')
Uskok (64')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western United
40.39%	25.56%	34.04%

Both teams to score 55.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.44%

48.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.32%

70.67%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.21%

23.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.05%

57.95%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67%

27.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.22%

62.78%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 40.39%

Western United 34.04%

Draw 25.57%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western United
1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.39%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.04%