Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
