Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 0-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
