SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Western United had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Western United win it was 2-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 18.93% | 21% | 60.08% |
| Both teams to score 56.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.57% | 40.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.19% | 62.81% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% | 34.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.31% | 71.69% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.92% | 13.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.31% | 39.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 5.14% 1-0 @ 4.81% 2-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-1 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.83% Total : 18.93% | 1-1 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 5.23% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21% | 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.46% 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-3 @ 6.74% 0-3 @ 6.41% 2-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 3.43% 0-4 @ 3.26% 2-4 @ 1.8% 1-5 @ 1.4% 0-5 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.47% Total : 60.08% |
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