Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Western United had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Western United win it was 2-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
