Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.