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Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Feb 11, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Parramatta Stadium
MC

Western Sydney
1 - 3
Melbourne City

Petratos (80' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leckie (36', 43'), Berenguer (64')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne City
23.75%21.62%54.63%
Both teams to score 61.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.11%36.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.93%59.07%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71%64.29%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44%13.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.35%40.65%
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 23.75%
    Melbourne City 54.63%
    Draw 21.62%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.08%
1-0 @ 4.85%
2-0 @ 3.04%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 23.75%
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 3.87%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-1 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 7.72%
1-3 @ 6.45%
0-3 @ 5.14%
2-3 @ 4.05%
1-4 @ 3.22%
0-4 @ 2.57%
2-4 @ 2.02%
1-5 @ 1.29%
0-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 54.63%

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