Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
