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Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Apr 24, 2021 at 10.10am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
MC

Macarthur
1 - 1
Melbourne City

Ruhs (77')
Susnjar (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Metcalfe (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawMelbourne City
29.59%23.4%47%
Both teams to score 60.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59%40.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.21%62.78%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85%26.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78%61.21%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53%17.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.06%47.93%
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 29.59%
    Melbourne City 47.01%
    Draw 23.39%
MacarthurDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.17%
1-0 @ 6.12%
2-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 29.59%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.57%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-1 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 6.95%
1-3 @ 5.43%
0-3 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 3.64%
1-4 @ 2.37%
0-4 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 47.01%

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