Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
