Victory
1 - 1
Adelaide United

D'Agostino (84')
Brooks (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Goodwin (90+1')
Timotheou (49'), Sanchez (79'), Juande (90')
Sanchez (90+2')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Adelaide United
31.17%	24.96%	43.87%

Both teams to score 56.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.25%

46.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.98%

69.02%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73%

28.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.02%

63.99%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66%

21.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7%

54.3%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 31.17%

Adelaide United 43.87%

Draw 24.96%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Adelaide United
1-0 @ 7.62% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.17%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 4.68% 0-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.87%