Victory
3 - 1
Western Utd

Geria (18'), Brillante (19'), D'Agostino (90+4')
Davidson (37')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Prijovic (87')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western United
41.34%	26%	32.66%

Both teams to score 53.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.26%

50.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.37%

72.63%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.72%

24.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.35%

58.65%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73%

29.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77%

65.23%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 41.33%

Western United 32.66%

Draw 25.99%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western United
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.74% Total : 41.33%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.66%