Adelaide United
4 - 0
Wellington

Blackwood (7'), Goodwin (54' pen., 69' pen.), Lopez (80')
Sanchez (48'), Kitto (58'), Tratt (75'), Mauk (87'), Lopez (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Waine (29'), Lewis (46'), (48'), Pennington (73')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
41.26%	24.44%	34.31%

Both teams to score 59.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.62%

43.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.23%

65.77%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.88%

21.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.05%

53.95%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29%

24.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75%

59.25%

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 41.26%

Wellington Phoenix 34.31%

Draw 24.43%

Adelaide United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.26%	1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.31%