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Wednesday, December 25
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Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Dec 4, 2021 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
WU

Melbourne City
0 - 1
Western Utd


Nabbout (63'), Atkinson (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Western United had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
73.01%16.38%10.61%
Both teams to score 50.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.94%37.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.75%59.25%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.2%8.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.82%30.18%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71%44.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64%80.36%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 73.01%
    Western United 10.61%
    Draw 16.38%
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
2-0 @ 11.51%
1-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 7.6%
4-0 @ 5.67%
4-1 @ 4.62%
3-2 @ 3.09%
5-0 @ 2.76%
5-1 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.88%
6-0 @ 1.12%
5-2 @ 0.91%
6-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 73.01%
1-1 @ 7.71%
0-0 @ 3.9%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 16.38%
0-1 @ 3.17%
1-2 @ 3.14%
0-2 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 10.61%

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