Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
