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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Auckland FC |
35.7% ( 0.72) | 22.63% ( 0.22) | 41.67% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 66.52% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.79% ( -0.97) | 34.21% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.9% ( -1.1) | 56.1% ( 1.1) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( -0.09) | 19.75% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.22% ( -0.15) | 51.78% ( 0.14) |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.89% ( -0.77) | 17.11% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.69% ( -1.37) | 47.31% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.7% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.33% Total : 41.67% |
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