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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 91.44%. A draw had a probability of 5.6% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 0-4 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.13%) and 1-4 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.99%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 2-1 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auckland FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
3% ( 0.78) | 5.56% ( 1.2) | 91.44% ( -1.98) |
| Both teams to score 58.5% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 89.76% ( -2.22) | 10.24% ( 2.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 77.31% ( -4.05) | 22.69% ( 4.05) |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% ( 0.7) | 40.77% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% ( 0.63) | 77.35% ( -0.62) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.76% ( -0.38) | 1.24% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 93.32% ( -1.74) | 6.68% ( 1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auckland FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| Other @ 3% Total : 3% | 1-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.4)Other @ 1.61% Total : 5.56% | 0-4 @ 7.82% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 7.13% ( 0.74)1-4 @ 7.02% ( 0.33)0-5 @ 6.87% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.77)1-5 @ 6.16% ( -0.2)0-6 @ 5.03% ( -0.71)0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.84)1-6 @ 4.51% ( -0.54)1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.83)0-7 @ 3.15% ( -0.75)2-4 @ 3.15% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.39)1-7 @ 2.83% ( -0.61)2-5 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.53)2-6 @ 2.02% ( -0.2)0-8 @ 1.73% ( -0.59)1-8 @ 1.55% ( -0.49)2-7 @ 1.27% ( -0.24)3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 6.76% Total : 91.44% |
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