SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.77%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
23.9% ( -0.44) | 19.33% ( -0.16) | 56.77% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 70.83% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.63% ( 0.3) | 25.37% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.6% ( 0.39) | 45.4% ( -0.39) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( -0.12) | 21.94% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.78% ( -0.18) | 55.22% ( 0.18) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.74% ( 0.23) | 9.26% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.7% ( 0.55) | 31.29% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 23.9% | 1-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.65% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.7% Total : 19.33% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 4.12% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.06)3-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.47% Total : 56.77% |
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