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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 93.5%. A draw had a probability of 4.4% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 2.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (7.99%) and 3-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.73%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (0.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Auckland FC |
93.5% ( -1.22) | 4.44% ( 0.83) | 2.05% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( -1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 89.87% ( -2.47) | 10.12% ( 2.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 77.51% ( -4.51) | 22.48% ( 4.52) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.93% ( -0.33) | 1.07% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 94.08% ( -1.55) | 5.91% ( 1.55) |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.44% ( -1.39) | 46.55% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.85% ( -1.08) | 82.15% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 4-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.73) 5-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 7.75% ( 1.18)4-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.31)5-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.19)6-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.7)2-0 @ 5.12% ( 1.1)6-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.53)7-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.63)2-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.72)7-1 @ 3% ( -0.62)4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.62)8-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.56)6-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.28)8-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.52)7-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.29)9-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.4)Other @ 6.21% Total : 93.5% | 1-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.23)Other @ 1.22% Total : 4.44% | Other @ 2.05% Total : 2.05% |
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