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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 38.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
38.68% ( -0.09) | 22.9% ( -0.02) | 38.42% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 65.76% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.68% ( 0.1) | 35.31% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.66% ( 0.12) | 57.34% ( -0.12) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( 0.01) | 18.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.7% ( 0.01) | 50.3% ( -0.01) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( 0.09) | 18.96% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( 0.16) | 50.49% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 38.42% |
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