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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Western United had a probability of 38.18% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.09%) and 1-3 (4.87%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
38.18% ( -0.83) | 22.04% ( 0.22) | 39.77% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 69.2% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.13% ( -1.18) | 30.87% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.77% ( -1.41) | 52.23% ( 1.41) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( -0.86) | 17.14% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.63% ( -1.53) | 47.37% ( 1.52) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% ( -0.26) | 16.48% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.8% ( -0.46) | 46.2% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.29% Total : 38.18% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.56% Total : 39.77% |
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