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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.09%) and 2-3 (4.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
37.6% ( 0.63) | 21.27% ( 0.2) | 41.13% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 72.3% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.12% ( -0.93) | 26.88% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.66% ( -1.19) | 47.34% ( 1.19) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -0.16) | 15.63% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.35% ( -0.3) | 44.65% ( 0.3) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% ( -0.67) | 14.3% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.88% ( -1.33) | 42.12% ( 1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.91% Total : 37.6% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.12)0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.12)3-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.67% Total : 41.13% |
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