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Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Feb 14, 2021 at 5.05am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
CC

Wellington
0 - 2
Central Coast


Ball (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simon (40'), Bozanic (50' pen.)
Miller (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
50.88%23.31%25.81%
Both teams to score 58.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26%42.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86%65.14%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11%16.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.08%46.92%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96%30.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84%66.16%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 50.88%
    Central Coast Mariners 25.81%
    Draw 23.31%
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.65%
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.88%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-1 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 25.81%

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