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Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Feb 21, 2021 at 7.10am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
WS

Wellington
2 - 2
Western Sydney

Muratovic (9'), Fenton (79')
Davila (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yeboah (71'), Kamau (77')
Russell (16'), Muller (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
42.21%24.67%33.11%
Both teams to score 58.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21%44.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85%67.14%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72%21.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8%54.19%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91%26.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87%61.13%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 42.21%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 33.11%
    Draw 24.67%
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.93%
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 6.65%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 42.21%
1-1 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.67%
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-1 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.11%

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