SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 42.21% | 24.67% | 33.11% |
| Both teams to score 58.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.21% | 44.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.85% | 67.14% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% | 21.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.8% | 54.19% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% | 26.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.87% | 61.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% 1-0 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.21% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-1 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.11% |
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