Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
